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Democracy, liberalism, rule of law

Can a country be democratic without being liberal? When I first heard Viktor Orban daydreaming about an "illiberal" democracy, back in 2014, I thought it was just an oxymoron. But in recent years, hearing people constantly complaining about undemocratic processes and governments in very different situations (Brexit: pro-and-contra, the Biden-presidency, Turkey, Eastern-Europe, etc), and experiencing how the adjective "liberal" has gradually become a form of accusation, got me thinking. What do these words, "liberal" and "democracy" actually mean? 

So I started thinking about the political systems we live in the West and trying to figure out what makes them work. Meanwhile, I consciously avoided opening any book or even a Wiki page on political philosophy. That would have spoiled the blue-collar intellectual pedigree of the blog, wouldn't it? Consequently, skepticism is stongly advised for what comes next.

I think the three main components that uphold Western-style societies are the rule of law, liberalism, and democracy. These are related, but not interchangeable concepts which get conflated in the popular discourse quite a bit. A joke comes to mind: one day, an older fish swims by two younger ones and greets them: "Hey boys, how is the water today?" As he passes, one of the two turns to the other and asks: "What is water?" The joke illuminates the fact that it's hard to see what characterizes something that surrounds you and taken for granted if you have never encountered the alternatives. So, for figuring out what the relationship between the three concepts above is, I tried to think about how political systems would look like that only implemented a subset of them.

First, I give some rudimentary description of each of these three concepts, as I see them, then take a look at that in what combinations they can co-exist.

The rule of law

...deserves to come first, since, as explained later, this seems to me not only the most important of the three, but also that what undergirds the other two. The expression means that there are written rules that place boundaries on personal liberty and regulate conduct between parties in all fields of life. Laws are enforced by an effective and apolitical police force, and disputes are resolved before impartial courts also independent of the political influence. If a society possesses nothing of the blessings of modernity beyond this, it's already a vastly better place to live in than people had to put up with before our era. According to most social scientists who study the development of nations (I mean the 3-4 I read), the legal guarantee of private property is the most important prerequisite of prosperity.

Liberalism

...., in a nutshell, is built upon two core ideas. Everyone is born with the same value, rights, and dignity, and secondly, everyone is entitled to live her life whichever way she chooses, as long as it doesn't violate the freedom of others to do the same. These two principles are not interchangeable, and it's easy to imagine a society where the first is upheld, but the second isn't. An ideal Christian society would be like that. Everyone is born as equal (in sin, that is), but lifestyle choices are rather vehemently constrained. The reversed situation in which people are unequal by birth but have the same opportunities and freedom seems implausible. 

Democracy

...., as understood today, is representative democracy with universal suffrage. In democractic countries, political leaders are elected by the citizenry for limited terms of service. At the next election, the leaders can be peacefully voted out of office, which decision they accept and leave.

These three components, on the assumption that they are independent, can be combined in eight different ways. Which of these are viable?

System 0: weak rule of law, illiberal, undemocratic

Assigning the number zero to this combination is approprioate, because this has been the default for almost all states in human history. Historical examples are therefore are abundant and there are many countries even today that fit the bill: Russia, China, Third World countries, etc. They are fully or partially undemocratic, practically or proudly illiberal, and the courts and police are under the thumb of the holders of power.

System 1: illiberal, undemocratic, with the rule of law

Examples for societies that respect the rule of law, but are neither democracies nor liberal include most late-nineteenth-century countries in the West. The United Kingdom, the Austro-Hungarian Empire, Bismarckian Prussia, ...etc. The rulers weren't elected by universal suffrage (or elected at all), poor and rich people were not treated as equals, societal pressures were stifling, but an aristocrat at least couldn't just go and kick you out of your house without a legal pretext. Which you could challenge in court. Theoretically, at least. In practice, the rule of law was lousy by today's standards, but it was definitely a huge step forward from the earlier eras.

System 2-3: weak rule of law, democratic (liberal or illiberal)

Democracy without a strong legal foundation never existed - at least not in a larger society, and probably never will. It is built on the practice of peaceful transfer of power which only works if it's enforced by law. People don't give up power without the threat of punishment, and if one does, the next one won't.

System 4-5: undemocratic liberalism (with or without the rule of law)

Like democracy, liberalism on its own never existed, either. Non-democratic countries by definition violate the principle that everyone has the same rights, and in practice, personal freedom as well. Liberalism presupposes democracy, which presupposes the rule of law. Or to look only at the relationship between law and liberalism: small communities can live without a legal system, but in larger ones, nonconformism needs the protection of the law. High level of cultural tolerance is not natural for humans.

System 6: Democratic, lawful, illiberal

Back to the idea that initiated this post. Can a country be democratic without being liberal? When I first heard Orban's latest "revelation", I dismissed it immediately (mostly for the reason that what he had in mind was simply a kleptocracy, but even he felt the need to dress it up to sound somewhat better). But I wasn't entirely right. The 1920s United Kingdom wasn't very liberal in today's sense, even though universal suffrage was granted in 1923. The 50s America weren't much better either, with institutional racism, pervasive homophobia, laws against sodomy, oral sex, interracial marriage, etc. In theory, a truly Christian democracy would be an illiberal one, too. Access to political power for everyone, but strict social norms (very illiberal ones for gays, women, atheists, etc) for all.
So illiberal democracy is a viable form of government, for a time being, anyway. In a healthy democracy, different opinions tend to percolate up to the decision-makers, constantly pushing against the consensus, which would broaden the range of accepted norms. An illiberal democracy either turns ever more liberal (which happened in most Western countries after the Second World War) or ever less democratic (e.g. pre-war Germany and Italy, or contemporary Hungary, Poland, Turkey).

System 7: Liberal democracy founded on the rule of law

Back to the water.
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The stupidest arguments against atheism

At its inception, this piece was meant to be titled "What is atheism", but then  very quickly realized that the topic would fill maybe a single paragraph, opening and end included. So instead, I decided to address some points religious apologists tend to raise in debates against atheists. There really aren't many of them and in one form another the same arguments are voiced by professional theologians and Bible-thumping yokels.

Let's define "atheism" first, which luckily can be done with very few words. Atheism, in the common usage of the word, simply means the lack of belief in God. Nothing more and nothing less. Further elaboration only paraphrases the above definition or deliberates either the reasons for or the consequences of it.

From an academic point of view, a distinction can be made between people who deny the existence of God (strong atheists) and those who simply don't believe in it while accepting that it's unprovable either way (agnostics). The first doesn't make much sense, as you can't disprove God the same way as you can't disprove unicorns. So in the following, I will use the word "atheist" in the sense as defined in the previous paragraph.

And now, let's get to those arguments!

Atheism is just another religion

"You make it sound as if it was a bad thing", one might respond. But the correct response is that it's just not. It's simply the lack of belief in gods. It doesn't tell what a person thinks about politics, art, economy, psychology, or anything but religion. "How does an atheist think about social justice?" is exactly as meaningless a question as asking what a non-firefighter thinks about social justice (as opposed to a firefighter). The word "atheist" in modern times should be considered as strange as "non-monarchist". It is a negation of something fewer and fewer people are today.

As Richard Dawkins said: “We are all atheists about most of the gods that humanity has ever believed in. Some of us just go one god further.”

This is not to say there are no people who put their atheism is at the center of their identities, for example, those who broke free from a very religious upbringing, but the number of such persons is insignificant compared to the masses of casual non-believers.


Atheists can't explain why the Universe exists

Absolutely true. But there is a great T-shirt inscription saying: "I Don't Know and You Don't Either". We don't know why we are here. Billions of people simply pretend they do, and this statement everyone who spends a moment to think about it must find true. Why? Because if you are a Christian, you "know" that all those Muslims, Hindus, Buddhists, etc. are wrong. If you are a Hindu, then...just replace a word.

Atheism is irrational because you can't prove there is no God

This is wrong in several ways. First, whoever says this, misunderstands who is expected to come up with some evidence in an argument. If I tell you I keep a gorilla at home (a schoolmate in first grade tried to sell this) and I want you to believe this, the burden of proof is on me. If I say nothing can travel faster than light and you disagree, the burden of proof is on you. Why, what is the difference between the two cases? The first example was about something very unlikely and therefore almost unheard of. Everyone can see what's wrong with it using common sense. Keeping a gorilla in a flat would be extremely inconvenient and probably against some laws, and would be newsworthy enough that you'd have heard of it already.
However, in the second example, I state a well-known scientific fact that has the backing of virtually all physicists in the world. Scientific theories get overturned sometimes, but that requires very strong arguments. Therefore, if you disagree with the commonly accepted limit of speed in our universe, it's you who has to come up with very strong evidence to the contrary.

Regarding the original statement, neither common sense nor evidence indicates that the world is created by any particular God. Few planetary scientists, physicists, or cosmologists are religious (and if they are, only in a liberal way) and everything we know about the origin of life flatly contradicts the Bible and all the other genesis myths.

The other problem with the statement is its assumption that the only alternative to atheism is my own God. Following this logic, since you can't prove that Odin doesn't exist, it's irrational to not believe in him.

Atheist are amoral

This asinine claim enjoys surprisingly wide support among simple-minded religious advocates and, even more surprisingly, in some vague form from Jordan Peterson (proving that a person can be brilliant in one field and very confused in another). According to the argument, the only thing keeping people from thieving, murdering, and raping is the fear of God. The statement tells more about the one who says it than about atheists.

A more philosophical version of this argument is that without God our moral values have no foundation. There is no objective right or wrong, and therefore the atheists live in the swamp of moral relativism, where the wrongness of even mass murder is only a matter of opinion. This is a question for philosophers, and whatever they have to say on the matter has little influence on how real people live their lives. Instead of speculation, we can just look at the empirical facts about whether the absence of faith make one depraved or not. They are plenty, and not supportive of the motion.

Children who have no concept of God don't go around bashing other kids on the head or stealing stuff. They do steal and hit sometimes, but they instinctively understand the concept of fairness, and quite often are nice and helpful with stranger kids. This applies to our closest relatives, the primates, and to other more intelligent species of the animal kingdom. There are both viciousness and kindness in nature, and the behavior of all sentient creatures seem to be tailored to, to varying degrees, reciprocity.

The most religious countries in the world are predominantly African, South-American, and Muslim, with crime rates through the roof or with outright state oppression. I don't think religion leads to depravity, it may well be that the miseries of life there or the iron fist of the state make people religious, but the numbers don't show that it makes people better either. If there is a genuine correlation between religiosity and crime, it's a positive one.

Or, someone who is reluctant to read up on history can just take a look at the Scandinavian countries of the present. They belong to the justest, most egalitarian societies of the world and the safest places to live. Also, they are the most atheist ones. According to surveys, only 5% of Norway's population think religion is an important part of life.

There have been many societies in history where the state religion didn't promise rewards in the afterlife (ironically one of them is the Jewish that gave birth to all monotheistic world religions) and they were not made up of rampaging lunatics. There has been no society on Earth where senseless murder, thieving, lying, or raping were condoned.  There seem to be universal moral laws that are wired into us, with or without the belief in supernatural sticks and carrots.

Atheism leads to the disintegration of society

This is the only popular claim that I think is defensible. Societies don't run on laws and policing only. They need forces of cohesion to keep them together (what the former states of the Soviet Union or Yugoslavia lacked), and one of those can be religion. 

But there is no evidence that religion is indispensable, especially if we look at modern European states.


Atheism led to Nazism and Communism

It's a very old, very tired, and very annoying argument, but it can give one a pause when first encountered. (It also contradicts the previous anti-atheism point - does atheism leads to tyrannies or total dissolution? Please, make up your mind)

The Nazis weren't antagonistic to Christianity, their 1920 manifesto even paid some lip service to it. Apart from the Jews, no one was persecuted for his belief in the Third Reich. Instead of rejecting faith wholesale, they channeled their society's spiritual energies into some pagan-flavored race-worship and the personal cult of the Fuhrer.

Communism, on the other hand, is an outspokenly anti-religious ideology. But there is no evidence that the terror regimes it bore had been any less monstrous if it had been neutral on the issue. And in fact, once one starts to think about it, Communism seems more and more like a religion (especially Catholicism) in surprisingly numerous aspects. It had its prophets and messiahs (Marx, Lenin), holy scriptures and dogmas (the writing of these men), heretics (Trotsky), popes blessed with infallibility (Stalin and Mao), sectarian wars (Tito vs Stalin, China vs USSR), martyrs (thousands), inquisition (show trials and purges), the ritual of confession (communist self-criticism), and finally, its followers believed to be part of something infinitely bigger and powerful than themselves. 

But we don't need to speculate because history actually tells us whether atheism leads to murderous tyrannies or not. It does the opposite, as discussed in the previous point. Modern Scandinavia probably has a much smaller proportion of believers than Nazi Germany or even the Soviet Union, where despite the aggressively antagonistic state around a third of its citizens claimed to be religious.


And here we reached the end of the list. I think it covers it all. Therefore I was briefly considering removing the "stupidest" adjective from the title because these seem to be not just the worst ones but the full list of anti-atheist arguments. But they are still stupid, so I just left it like that.